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GeneP59

GeneP59 Avatar

Location: On the edge of tomorrow looking back at
Gender: Male


Posted: Nov 12, 2024 - 3:14pm

Islander and Cold Miser congrats on making it to the top!   
islander

islander Avatar

Location: West coast somewhere
Gender: Male


Posted: Nov 12, 2024 - 10:12am

 ColdMiser wrote:

Go figure the one week I show up strong I forget the Thursday night game. I went on a 9 mile hike that day to try and forget about the election and forgot about football instead 



You got a higher percentage of games guessed this week, so you can wear the crown and cape, but I still get to sit on the winners bench and I want sprinkles.
ColdMiser

ColdMiser Avatar

Location: On the Trail
Gender: Male


Posted: Nov 12, 2024 - 9:16am

 islander wrote:


Woot Woot! Mr. Miser is clearly just playing with us - skipping the first game completely and making the outlier pick on the last game. Well done.

Go figure the one week I show up strong I forget the Thursday night game. I went on a 9 mile hike that day to try and forget about the election and forgot about football instead 
islander

islander Avatar

Location: West coast somewhere
Gender: Male


Posted: Nov 12, 2024 - 6:30am

 Coaxial wrote:
{#Clap}
Two-way tie this week. Both Islander and Cold Miser chose 10 out of 14 winners.
{#Bounce}
That is excellent picking, gentleman, congratulations to you both!
{#Notworthy}


Woot Woot! Mr. Miser is clearly just playing with us - skipping the first game completely and making the outlier pick on the last game. Well done.
Coaxial

Coaxial Avatar

Location: Comfortably numb in So Texas
Gender: Male


Posted: Nov 12, 2024 - 6:24am

{#Clap}Two-way tie this week. Both Islander and Cold Miser chose 10 out of 14 winners.{#Bounce}That is excellent picking, gentleman, congratulations to you both!{#Notworthy}
GeneP59

GeneP59 Avatar

Location: On the edge of tomorrow looking back at
Gender: Male


Posted: Nov 11, 2024 - 8:01pm

 islander wrote:


Never change your picks... unless... (you picked the Jets). 


I didn’t change my pick and I did call this as a Trap Game.   
islander

islander Avatar

Location: West coast somewhere
Gender: Male


Posted: Nov 11, 2024 - 4:42pm

 rgio wrote:

Spreadsheet?  

The Jets are dead to me.  As are the Falcons, Saints, Titans, Raiders, Seahawks, Patriots, Broncos, and Buccaneers.  

Geno Smith was so mad last week on the way to the locker room he threw his helmet, it was intercepted < not my joke >.




islander

islander Avatar

Location: West coast somewhere
Gender: Male


Posted: Nov 11, 2024 - 4:40pm

 GeneP59 wrote:
Tonight’s game could be a trap game, but I’m not changing my pick, maybe, I think, possibly.   



Never change your picks... unless... (you picked the Jets). 
GeneP59

GeneP59 Avatar

Location: On the edge of tomorrow looking back at
Gender: Male


Posted: Nov 11, 2024 - 3:53pm

Tonight’s game could be a trap game, but I’m not changing my pick, maybe, I think, possibly.   
sunybuny

sunybuny Avatar

Location: The West & Best Coast of FLA
Gender: Female


Posted: Nov 11, 2024 - 3:30pm

 rgio wrote:

Spreadsheet?  

The Jets are dead to me.  As are the Falcons, Saints, Titans, Raiders, Seahawks, Patriots, Broncos, and Buccaneers.  


Hey, Hey. Bucs get a bye-week and then Evans comes back.
sunybuny

sunybuny Avatar

Location: The West & Best Coast of FLA
Gender: Female


Posted: Nov 11, 2024 - 3:30pm

 rgio wrote:

This is my 4th year picking 'em.  Somehow I've gone from winning the first 2 years to not being able to crack 100 most weeks.   I wish I could remember what the hell I was doing back then... but every week I get further and further from the glory days.  I need about 4 perfect weeks to get right back in the middle of the pack.

Then I need your help with 2 really bad weeks... 1 won't do it.

I'm gonna buckle down and think about my goals this week.   Next week you're gonna see the new (old) me.  Moderation be damned!


It wasn't / isn't you. It's Them and They.

sunybuny

sunybuny Avatar

Location: The West & Best Coast of FLA
Gender: Female


Posted: Nov 11, 2024 - 3:29pm

 islander wrote:


If I were into conspiracies... 

I do think there is some confirmation bias going on with the referees and penalty calling.

Al Michaels apparently agrees with you.

rgio

rgio Avatar

Location: West Jersey
Gender: Male


Posted: Nov 11, 2024 - 3:18pm

 islander wrote:

Have faith my brother. It is well within the realm of possible outcomes.

I've had good and bad years. I think I've finished at the top and bottom of the pack. So a system is only as good as the alignment of the stars. I used to use the 538sports profile as my first wave of input to a spreadsheet. That was pretty good, but they killed it last year, so I had to adapt, but the basics of that model are still a pretty good indicator. Then you have to add moon phase, wind direction, the temperament of Miami's puppy, and the temperature of Manbird's tapioca into the mix. Divide or multiply as needed to get an answer you like. And never pick the Jets... unless you do.


Spreadsheet?  

The Jets are dead to me.  As are the Falcons, Saints, Titans, Raiders, Seahawks, Patriots, Broncos, and Buccaneers.  
islander

islander Avatar

Location: West coast somewhere
Gender: Male


Posted: Nov 11, 2024 - 1:59pm

 rgio wrote:

This is my 4th year picking 'em.  Somehow I've gone from winning the first 2 years to not being able to crack 100 most weeks.   I wish I could remember what the hell I was doing back then... but every week I get further and further from the glory days.  I need about 4 perfect weeks to get right back in the middle of the pack.

Then I need your help with 2 really bad weeks... 1 won't do it.

I'm gonna buckle down and think about my goals this week.   Next week you're gonna see the new (old) me.  Moderation be damned!


Have faith my brother. It is well within the realm of possible outcomes.

I've had good and bad years. I think I've finished at the top and bottom of the pack. So a system is only as good as the alignment of the stars. I used to use the 538sports profile as my first wave of input to a spreadsheet. That was pretty good, but they killed it last year, so I had to adapt, but the basics of that model are still a pretty good indicator. Then you have to add moon phase, wind direction, the temperament of Miami's puppy, and the temperature of Manbird's tapioca into the mix. Divide or multiply as needed to get an answer you like. And never pick the Jets... unless you do.

rgio

rgio Avatar

Location: West Jersey
Gender: Male


Posted: Nov 11, 2024 - 1:42pm

 islander wrote:
More a loose compilation of suggestions w/ a dash of manbird hunch folded in. Everything in moderation, especially moderation. 

This is my 4th year picking 'em.  Somehow I've gone from winning the first 2 years to not being able to crack 100 most weeks.   I wish I could remember what the hell I was doing back then... but every week I get further and further from the glory days.  I need about 4 perfect weeks to get right back in the middle of the pack.

Then I need your help with 2 really bad weeks... 1 won't do it.

I'm gonna buckle down and think about my goals this week.   Next week you're gonna see the new (old) me.  Moderation be damned!

islander

islander Avatar

Location: West coast somewhere
Gender: Male


Posted: Nov 11, 2024 - 1:07pm

 rgio wrote:

Maybe that's my problem... I'm gonna go read the rulebook.



More a loose compilation of suggestions w/ a dash of manbird hunch folded in. Everything in moderation, especially moderation. 
rgio

rgio Avatar

Location: West Jersey
Gender: Male


Posted: Nov 11, 2024 - 12:23pm

 islander wrote:

There is a rule about that...


Maybe that's my problem... I'm gonna go read the rulebook.

islander

islander Avatar

Location: West coast somewhere
Gender: Male


Posted: Nov 11, 2024 - 8:45am

 rgio wrote:

This whole season is a conspiracy to make me look bad.   If it weren't for the cheating... you'd see I am winning.

I went to bed at halftime of the Texans game (correction... after the first play of the 3rd quarter...interception) ... figured I didn't want to watch them lose given I had jinxed them.

I literally can't get out of my own way this year... was going to pick Panthers, and talked myself out of it for the Jets.  


There is a rule about that...

rgio

rgio Avatar

Location: West Jersey
Gender: Male


Posted: Nov 11, 2024 - 8:44am

 islander wrote:


If I were into conspiracies... 

I do think there is some confirmation bias going on with the referees and penalty calling.

This whole season is a conspiracy to make me look bad.   If it weren't for the cheating... you'd see I am winning.

I went to bed at halftime of the Texans game (correction... after the first play of the 3rd quarter...interception) ... figured I didn't want to watch them lose given I had jinxed them.

I literally can't get out of my own way this year... was going to pick Panthers, and talked myself out of it for the Jets.  
islander

islander Avatar

Location: West coast somewhere
Gender: Male


Posted: Nov 11, 2024 - 8:21am

 Proclivities wrote:

There were several wins that could've gone either way really - Steelers, Chiefs (blocked field goal - really?), Saints (3 missed field goals by the Falcons kicker?), Lions, Vikings, etc.



If I were into conspiracies... 

I do think there is some confirmation bias going on with the referees and penalty calling.
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