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Wordle - daily game - NoEnzLefttoSplit - Jan 14, 2025 - 11:46pm
 
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Radio Paradise NFL Pick'em Group - sunybuny - Jan 14, 2025 - 3:28pm
 
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Radio Paradise Comments - Coaxial - Jan 14, 2025 - 6:18am
 
Today in History - Red_Dragon - Jan 14, 2025 - 5:50am
 
Climate Change - R_P - Jan 13, 2025 - 6:11pm
 
Talk Behind Their Backs Forum - geoff_morphini - Jan 13, 2025 - 5:45pm
 
What makes you smile? - Antigone - Jan 13, 2025 - 5:09pm
 
How's the weather? - KurtfromLaQuinta - Jan 13, 2025 - 4:52pm
 
Fires - Isabeau - Jan 13, 2025 - 1:54pm
 
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January 2025 Photo Theme - Beginnings - Isabeau - Jan 13, 2025 - 5:37am
 
Pretty Darn Good Bass Lines - among the best.... - NoEnzLefttoSplit - Jan 13, 2025 - 1:48am
 
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Things You Thought Today - Steely_D - Jan 11, 2025 - 7:12pm
 
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Photos you have taken of your walks or hikes. - Isabeau - Jan 11, 2025 - 12:55pm
 
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Song help please - geoff_morphini - Jan 7, 2025 - 9:37am
 
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• • • The Once-a-Day • • •  - Red_Dragon - Jan 6, 2025 - 11:23am
 
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Chemosabe, the further adventures of ... - kurtster - Jan 4, 2025 - 12:36am
 
Mixtape Culture Club - Steely_D - Jan 3, 2025 - 3:49pm
 
Evolution! - R_P - Jan 3, 2025 - 3:09pm
 
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Post to this Topic
haresfur

haresfur Avatar

Location: The Golden Triangle
Gender: Male


Posted: Jan 14, 2025 - 9:48pm

 islander wrote:


Does anyone underground transmission?  Heat would be a giant obstacle, but I'd imagine insulation would be a close second. 


People have advocated it here but the power company pretty much said it wasn't close to practical. I had to prepare comments for a planned new transmission line and that wasn't really in my remit. Sometimes it is hard to tell when the consultation process is designed to be driven to their desired outcome or whether they are really evaluating possible solutions. In this case, they were probably right in terms of the burial but chose a crappy route and ignored the impacts on agriculture. Interferes with centre pivot irrigation and hard to do aerial spraying with a powerline across your potato field and other issues.
rgio

rgio Avatar

Location: West Jersey
Gender: Male


Posted: Jan 14, 2025 - 6:53pm

 islander wrote:
Does anyone underground transmission?  Heat would be a giant obstacle, but I'd imagine insulation would be a close second. 

I believe there is some, especially in newer communities/areas....but it's really expensive.... like 10X+


Red_Dragon

Red_Dragon Avatar

Location: Gilead


Posted: Jan 14, 2025 - 5:50pm

 islander wrote:


Does anyone underground transmission?  Heat would be a giant obstacle, but I'd imagine insulation would be a close second. 


Dunno.
islander

islander Avatar

Location: West coast somewhere
Gender: Male


Posted: Jan 14, 2025 - 5:41pm

 Red_Dragon wrote:


Out here in the flatlands, using modern directional-boring technology, burying distribution lines is a snap and affordable. Transmission lines are a completely different animal.


Does anyone underground transmission?  Heat would be a giant obstacle, but I'd imagine insulation would be a close second. 
Red_Dragon

Red_Dragon Avatar

Location: Gilead


Posted: Jan 14, 2025 - 4:42pm

 haresfur wrote:

Burying power lines is hugely expensive but if anyone can afford it, it is the US. It makes maintenance much harder, too. But with current technology, they can instantaneously tell precisely where a break occurs. One trouble currently is that they will shut down the power to keep from starting new fires in the winds and that exacerbates the other problems. Perhaps too little, too late, but large areas north of LA were without power after the fires started. 

Every fire is going to be different and add to understanding of what can be done better. I have been involved in several post-mortem evaluations of events/accidents and they really only are useful if everyone approaches it from the point of view of looking for what can be done for improvement, rather than pointing fingers.



Out here in the flatlands, using modern directional-boring technology, burying distribution lines is a snap and affordable. Transmission lines are a completely different animal.
haresfur

haresfur Avatar

Location: The Golden Triangle
Gender: Male


Posted: Jan 14, 2025 - 4:26pm

 kurtster wrote:

Well if the proper resources are available when the fire starts and is very small, perhaps it could be extinguished, regardless of how strong the winds are.

And it has come to light that the Eaton / Altadena fire was most likely started by power lines from good old SCE.  That was the one that most concerned me when it first started.  It had the greatest potential to cause a wide open burn that made a straight line to Long Beach through regular neighborhoods of the ordinary folk.  It's still burning strong and the winds are kicking up again.  Sure it is somewhat contained, but we don't know what side of the fire is contained and which is still out of control.

This event is still far from over.
{#Meditate}

Burying power lines is hugely expensive but if anyone can afford it, it is the US. It makes maintenance much harder, too. But with current technology, they can instantaneously tell precisely where a break occurs. One trouble currently is that they will shut down the power to keep from starting new fires in the winds and that exacerbates the other problems. Perhaps too little, too late, but large areas north of LA were without power after the fires started. 

Every fire is going to be different and add to understanding of what can be done better. I have been involved in several post-mortem evaluations of events/accidents and they really only are useful if everyone approaches it from the point of view of looking for what can be done for improvement, rather than pointing fingers.

kcar

kcar Avatar



Posted: Jan 14, 2025 - 10:20am

Why it's almost as if Jon did this piece just for Kurt: 



kurtster

kurtster Avatar

Location: where fear is not a virtue
Gender: Male


Posted: Jan 13, 2025 - 9:46pm

 buddy wrote:
 Bdw wrote:
How close is RP in Eureka to the fire? Looks close.

Eureka is in Northern California below the Oregon border, so not close.
 
Eureka !  is also the state motto.
buddy

buddy Avatar

Location: Rocky Mountain Way
Gender: Male


Posted: Jan 13, 2025 - 8:48pm

 Bdw wrote:


How close is RP in Eureka to the fire? Looks close.


Eureka is in Northern California below the Oregon border, so not close.


kurtster

kurtster Avatar

Location: where fear is not a virtue
Gender: Male


Posted: Jan 13, 2025 - 5:46pm

 black321 wrote:
this had nothing to do with the fighting a fire when there are hurricane force winds....
 
Well if the proper resources are available when the fire starts and is very small, perhaps it could be extinguished, regardless of how strong the winds are.

And it has come to light that the Eaton / Altadena fire was most likely started by power lines from good old SCE.  That was the one that most concerned me when it first started.  It had the greatest potential to cause a wide open burn that made a straight line to Long Beach through regular neighborhoods of the ordinary folk.  It's still burning strong and the winds are kicking up again.  Sure it is somewhat contained, but we don't know what side of the fire is contained and which is still out of control.

This event is still far from over.
{#Meditate}
Bdw



Posted: Jan 13, 2025 - 5:45pm

 kurtster wrote:

The Santa Ana winds happen several times a year, every year.  The Santa Monica fire would not have started if the guy was not careless with his leftover coals.  Doesn't mean that these winds only blow like this every several decades.


How close is RP in Eureka to the fire? Looks close.

kurtster

kurtster Avatar

Location: where fear is not a virtue
Gender: Male


Posted: Jan 13, 2025 - 5:38pm

 NoEnzLefttoSplit wrote:
 
Although on BlueSky someone was saying it was an almost exact rerun of the Santa Monica Mountain fires of 1938
so it sounds like the area is exposed to this kind of risk on a regular basis, just at relatively long intervals. 
 
The Santa Ana winds happen several times a year, every year.  The Santa Monica fire would not have started if the guy was not careless with his leftover coals.  Doesn't mean that these winds only blow like this every several decades.

These are the same winds that are powerful enough to bring snow and freezing temps to the beaches in Orange County some winters.  Pretty amazing when you consider that in California, snow is an elevational event as in the snow usually doesn't fall below certain elevations depending on things like local temps and storm strength.  Snow at sea level in So Cal is a big deal.
Steely_D

Steely_D Avatar

Location: Biscayne Bay
Gender: Male


Posted: Jan 13, 2025 - 3:21pm

 black321 wrote:
fighting a fire when there are hurricane force winds....


Thanks, Trump.
black321

black321 Avatar

Location: An earth without maps
Gender: Male


Posted: Jan 13, 2025 - 1:22pm

 kurtster wrote:

In this case, we are talking about California, or at least I am.  Tried buying earthquake insurance in California lately ?

So many circumstances are unique to California.

And this just in.

Los Angeles wildfires: California firebug arrest caught on video as police warn of arsonists


there are unique rules and regs related to CA insurance, in response to insurer premiums and dropping coverage. 
i'm certainly not smart enough to comment on how effective these new rules are, but the underlying issue is the cost and frequency of events have increased, which is changing the market.
but clearly, this had nothing to do with the fighting a fire when there are hurricane force winds....
NoEnzLefttoSplit

NoEnzLefttoSplit Avatar

Gender: Male


Posted: Jan 13, 2025 - 1:20pm

 Isabeau wrote:


             Or maybe it was
                         CLIMATE CHANGE?


Although on BlueSky someone was saying it was an almost exact rerun of the Santa Monica Mountain fires of 1938
so it sounds like the area is exposed to this kind of risk on a regular basis, just at relatively long intervals. 

In my experience insurance actuaries are actually quite good at quantifying risk. They are just working with a limited dataset due to our relatively short time of record-keeping, so revisions of risk profiles can be expected as we gather more data over time.

kcar

kcar Avatar



Posted: Jan 13, 2025 - 1:20pm

 Isabeau wrote:


             Or maybe it was
                         CLIMATE CHANGE?


He'll have to check with Drumpf on that one...
Isabeau

Isabeau Avatar

Location: sou' tex
Gender: Female


Posted: Jan 13, 2025 - 1:08pm

 kurtster wrote:

Why is fire insurance so high in SoCal ?  

Ya think that the insurance companies might actually know the actual state and readiness of reservoirs and how well forest management and fire mitigation is not being done as it should be ?

And then the budgets of fire departments are cut by millions of dollars ?



             Or maybe it was
                         CLIMATE CHANGE?
kurtster

kurtster Avatar

Location: where fear is not a virtue
Gender: Male


Posted: Jan 13, 2025 - 12:49pm

 black321 wrote:
might be an interesting question if we were just talking California...
 
In this case, we are talking about California, or at least I am.  Tried buying earthquake insurance in California lately ?

So many circumstances are unique to California.

And this just in.

Los Angeles wildfires: California firebug arrest caught on video as police warn of arsonists
black321

black321 Avatar

Location: An earth without maps
Gender: Male


Posted: Jan 13, 2025 - 12:29pm

 kurtster wrote:

Why is fire insurance so high in SoCal ?  

Ya think that the insurance companies might actually know the actual state and readiness of reservoirs and how well forest management and fire mitigation is not being done as it should be ?

And then the budgets of fire departments are cut by millions of dollars ?



might be an interesting question if we were just talking California...but we have the same question for most states with homes near wildfires like CO, or flooding risk like FL.
I live in a wildfire area outside of denver. i recently had my premium jump by over $1k to ~$6.5K, after a few years of similar jumps. Tried calling at least six other firms for a quote - Allstate, Geico, Farmers, Great American...and none of them are writing policies. 
Daughter has a fairly modest home in area north of tampa, ~30 miles from the ocean. Rate has jumped in recent years by about 100%....are they mismanaging their flood zones, even though she isnt in one? 
A premium is based on the cost of the funding the risk (rising from inflation) and the probability of the risk occurring (also rising) plus their profit above that formula). 
insurance cos understand that both the costs and the probabilities are rising, the latter to some extent from mismanagement, but more so from a perspective of climate change and population growth. 

kurtster

kurtster Avatar

Location: where fear is not a virtue
Gender: Male


Posted: Jan 13, 2025 - 12:19pm

Why is fire insurance so high in SoCal ?  

Ya think that the insurance companies might actually know the actual state and readiness of reservoirs and how well forest management and fire mitigation is not being done as it should be ?

And then the budgets of fire departments are cut by millions of dollars ?
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